Marty cookeryAn American surgeon and professor at Johns Hopkins University said that the United States can overcome the HIV epidemic. New coronavirus By the month of April, combined with vaccination, through collective natural immunity. The optimistic forecast was published in an opinion article in the daily Wall Street Journal.
Makari says they rely on “laboratory data, mathematical data, published literature and interactions with experts” to say that the United States is two months away from achieving natural immunity. He specifically highlighted the fact that the number of positive cases in the United States has decreased by 77% in the last six weeks and 15% of the local population has been vaccinated.
The British surgeon, who teaches public health policies at Johns Hopkins, described it T lymphocytes, cells with immune functions for antiviral responses. They believe that the majority of the population had already had exposure to the virus without showing severe symptoms, and that they were naturally immune.
“There was no sudden improvement in behavior during the holidays. Americans have traveled more over Christmas since March. Vaccines also do not explain the sharp decline in January. The vaccination rate was low and took several weeks to take effect.
Collective immunity, also known as herd immunity, has been controversial since the onset of the new coronovirus epidemic. The rate is reached when the number of people immunized by an infection reaches a level that stops its spread. This can occur naturally, when people are infected (resulting in countless deaths and therefore not recommended) or through a vaccine.
According to Makaraki, by combining the two scenarios, it is possible to predict epidemic control soon. He argues that many doctors and analysts are afraid to talk about collective immunity, as it may encourage people to break the recommendations of segregation.
In the article, doctors still refer to the city of Manaus, although the Amazon capital again faces a fragile moment, with an overloaded health system and a new version of coronovirus among the population.
“Herd immunity was well documented in the Brazilian city of Manaus, where Lancet researchers reported that the prevalence of previous Kovid-19 infections was 76%, resulting in a significant reduction in infections. The doctor introduced a new strain. Are exploring what threatens to evade previous immunity. But countries where new versions have appeared, such as the United Kingdom, South Africa and Brazil, are also seeing significant declines in new daily affairs.
Surgeons also defended the resumption of services such as schools to minimize damage from the long-term ban. “A contingency plan for an open economy by April can provide hope for those who are in despair and for those who have made great personal sacrifices.”
Johns Hopkins University is responsible for one of the most respected surveys of Kovid-19 cases. Its most recent data are 110,903,820 million cases of the disease and 2,456,069 million deaths. The United States topped both lists.