If Donald Trump is forced out of the White House in the November election, he will not be the only loser. Many governments will probably celebrate the end of all non-traditionalism, and sometimes others will remember it, declaring the turbulent states of the modern American president.
For the leaders of Turkey, North Korea and Israel, the leader has been almost entirely positive. With Trump’s resignation, he will face immediate challenges. Scorecards are more important for countries like China. Even so, the common fear of the most dictatorial winners in Trump’s four-year term is that his departure will bring back more traditional US foreign policy.
It can be seen that the United States is reforming the alliance and promoting the ubiquity of values such as democracy and human rights, or the fight against climate change. “This president embraces all the crooks in the world,” anti-Trump Joe Biden said at a recent Hall of Fame event as he tried to bridge the political divide.
Kim Jong Un
Under Trump, relations with the United States have not changed much more than with North Korea. Mutual intimidation and insults often provoked ironic love, when Kim and Trump met three times and exchanged more than two dozen letters, displaying their “mysteriously wonderful” chemistry.
However, a completely different US approach has also failed to secure North Korea’s denuclearization. On October 10, Kim unveiled a massive new intercontinental ballistic missile that appears to be capable of delivering several nuclear warheads.
Biden has said he will not meet unconditionally, and that lifting sanctions quickly could turn North Korea’s economy into a recession in less than two decades.
Muhammad bin Salman
Trump chose Riyadh for his first foreign trip in 2017, citing Saudi Arabia’s approach to international relations in Saudi Arabia. He was greeted with a large picture of his own face in front of the palace hotel, where his representative was staying.
Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince has reaped significant benefits, most notably from Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal with his country’s arch-rival, Iran. Trump also offered personal support and vetoed congressional sanctions when MBS, as he is known, was besieged by allegations that he ordered the assassination of 2018’s top government critic Jamal Khashoggi.
There are disappointments for Saudi Arabia, especially Trump’s failure to attack troops in the wake of the 2019 attack on oil facilities in eastern Saudi Arabia, which the United States has blamed on Iran. Saudi leaders say they are confident they can change Biden. Nevertheless, Trump’s move is likely to return to a more traditional US focus on human rights and could pave the way for a resumption of the Iran deal.
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
If anyone relies more on Trump than MBS for political protection, he is the President of Turkey. Despite being an ally of Turkey and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Trump has been virtually alone in imposing congressional sanctions over Erdogan’s decision to buy Russia’s S-400 air defense missile system.
With his personal bond, Erdogan empowered Trump to persuade US troops to withdraw from Kurdish areas in northern Syria so that Turkey could send troops to occupy the zone. Trump made the decision without consulting the Pentagon or US allies in the fight against Islamic State in Syria, which also includes UK, French and Kurdish fighters who are considered Turkish terrorists. The sanctions are ready to be enforced, and Biden has previously called on the United States to support Turkey’s opposition. Erdogan may lose the most since Trump’s departure.
Trump has been more aggressive towards China than any US president in recent memory, slapping tariffs on Chinese goods and pushing to limit access to key technologies. Still, Chinese officials have said on the balance that the leadership would prefer Trump to stay.
Trump has shaken up the post-World War II alliance system that China sees as a significant benefit of its geopolitical ambitions. He also undermined the international stature of the United States by issuing agreements following the policies of “America First” and created open fronts for the Chinese president to reject the consequences of leadership on everything from trade to climate change.
Beijing’s concern about Beijing is that it will seek to build a more coordinated international front to deal with China while maintaining pressure on trade and technology. Even so, according to Zhu Feng, a professor of international relations at Nanjing University, if Trump loses, China could benefit from less emotional ties with Washington. “Do people really want to see China and the United States join the Cold War?”
Russia’s alleged involvement in the 2016 election led to a formal US investigation and a 448-page report. But in some ways, Putin hit the jackpot. In office, Trump has questioned the value of NATO and even the position of countries like Germany’s allies, undermining a transatlantic alliance that Russia and Soviet leaders sought to break back Joseph Stalin.
There are every reason to think that this trend will continue during Trump’s second administration. Nevertheless, the Russian president made some tangible gains, ranging from lifting sanctions to advancing arms control. Russian officials see the possibility of a meltdown under the Boden administration as low, and so low.
According to Fiona Hill, senior director of the National Security Council for European and Russian Affairs, the Kremlin may try to change this, rather than mourn the anti-Russian mood. “They can control the boys who are poisoning people. , Left and center, “Hill said, now at the Brookings Institution. “When they were meeting with us, they could not look us in the eye. All they could do was stop. ”
For Brazil’s president, Trump is a political ally. As US referendum polls shift Biden’s turn, Bolsonaro is worried about the future of his relationship with the White House, according to a senior cabinet member.
Since taking office in 2019, Bolsonaro has followed Brazil’s decades-old tradition of an equal foreign policy in favor of automatic alliances with the United States and its allies. In return, Trump lifted the ban on fresh-beef imports, backed Brazil’s bid to join the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development and signed deals for defense and space research.
Foreign Minister Ernesto Araujo has said that Brazil will not have any problems with the Biden administration, but will face strong opposition to Bolsonaro’s environmental policies. Biden has suggested that if Brazil does not stop deforestation in the Amazon, it could face economic consequences.
Trump has repeatedly broken the US precedent of promoting the Israeli leader’s nationalist agenda, recognizing Israeli sovereignty in the disputed Golan Heights and sending the US embassy to Jerusalem. Plans to annex parts of the Palestinian West Bank have been secured, but could be revived in Trump’s second term.
The actual payment came in September, when Trump broke the normalization deal between Israel and the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, but at a cost; Bilateral support for Israel has waned in Congress. Many Israelis fear that their country will face further scrutiny under a Biden administration, while the security establishment is concerned about a US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal.
Andrzej Duda and Victor Urban
Among the more liberal European states, leaders from outside, Poland and Hungary have found satisfaction in Trump. In 2017, he chose Warsaw for a major speech in which he redefined the West according to conservative, Christian values - endorsing Duda’s right-wing agenda, which Hungary has in common.
The Hungarian prime minister has openly backed Trump ahead of the election, saying he does not want to see a return to the “moral imperialism” that the Democratic administration will bring to the White House.
Both men hate Trump for political correctness in ways that could provoke disagreements with Biden. President Duda has dismissed the LGBTQ + community as an “enemy” of Polish families. In September, Biden weighed in on Twitter against Polish territories for declaring themselves “free of LGBT ideology.”
In his remarks on Trump’s “swindlers”, Biden linked Hungary and Poland to post-Soviet Belarus when he warned NATO against the threat of a “global dictatorship”.