The US presidential race is leading to a narrow end between the differences between US President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponent Joe Biden, especially between the warring states.
According to Real Explicit Politics, Binnen, 77, of Trump, 74, was leading the fight with 2.9 percentage points in key battle states, while maintaining opinion polls.
Biden’s leadership has shrunk in recent days as Trump and his family have dropped carpet bombs on key war zones, including about 15 rallies by the president.
The first family, along with Vice President Mike Pence, rallied more than 40 times in the last three days of the election. Biden, his running mate Senator Kamala Harris and former President Barack Obama have also stepped up their public appearances in recent days, but this is not in line with Trump’s campaign. Since the election, Biden has been in Ohio, while Obama has been campaigning in Florida. Harris was in Pennsylvania.
Trump was holding five rallies in five key war states, North Carolina, Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Nationally, Trump was ahead of Id Breast Biden by 6.5 percentage points in real clear politics. Until a few days ago, Biden’s lead was almost eight percent. Both the Trump and Biden campaigns on Monday boosted confidence in winning the race on Tuesday night.
The majority of the mainstream media, however, said Monday that Trump is determined to win the election, given that he is running in major states such as Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan, Arizona and Wisconsin. Some outlets are saying that Texas, traditionally the stronghold of the GOP, is going to play this year as well. Trump supporters argue that the poll does not reflect the ground realities and will win the 2016 presidential election with a stronger fatwa than in 2016.
On Monday, Nate Silver from the critical FiveThirtight.com said Trump has a nearly 10 percent chance of winning the election. In particular, he was wrong in 2016. In 2016, Trump could potentially benefit from the Electoral College. The projected margins in the tipping-point states are much stricter than the national popular vote margins. “Our prediction is that John Biden’s most likely tipping point is in the state of Pennsylvania,” Silver wrote.
Nate Silver said that if Biden wins the popular vote by 2 to 3 percentage points, the Electoral College is roughly a toss-up. But if Biden wins the popular vote by less than 2 points, Trump would be too strong to win the election, he wrote. Even a popular margin of up to 6 points is not entirely safe for Biden if his votes are distributed incorrectly. So you can see why the 8- or 9-point lead in the popular vote doesn’t make Biden feel this safe; Despite being a large regional margin, it has only removed a few points from the point where electoral colleges begin to compete, he argued.
According to The New York Times, if the polls are correct, Biden could have won the most decisive presidential election in three decades in 1996, surpassing Bill Clinton’s victory in 1996. This is a big deal. An indelible memory of the 2016 polling misunderstanding, when Donald J. Trump was immersed in the results of almost every pre-election election and yet, after beating the states on the battlefield and winning the Electoral College, got caught up in the 2020 campaign. Rozana said Mr Biden’s extraordinarily consistent leadership had done little to address the question of whether re-election could take place.
President Trump needs a big polling mistake to expect the White House to win. Joe Biden will win, but the more elections there are in 201, the more elections there will be.